NM St
W-L: ( 4- 8) PR = 65.0861Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 H Bryant 19- 3 906 H Tulsa AME ( 4- 8, 67.6) 21-14 913 A La Tech CUSA ( 8- 5, 75.6) 14-49 927 A New Mexico MIDW ( 9- 4, 77.5) 20-38 1002 H SHouston St CUSA ( 2-10, 58.8) 37-10 1014 A Liberty CUSA ( 4- 8, 68.4) 27-30 1022 H Missouri St ( 7- 6, 70.3) 17-24 1101 A We Kentucky CUSA ( 9- 4, 75.2) 16-35 1108 H Kennesaw St CUSA (10- 4, 73.9) 21-24 1115 A Tennessee SEC ( 8- 5, 83.7) 9-42 1122 A UTEP CUSA ( 2-10, 61.8) 34-31 1129 H Middle Tenn CUSA ( 3- 9, 66.4) 24-31
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
906 H Tulsa 21-14 7 3 ++ 4.27
913 A La Tech 14-49 -35 -16 0.00
927 A New Mexico 20-38 -18 -18 0.00
1002 H SHouston St 37-10 27 12 + 2.44
1014 A Liberty 27-30 -3 -9 ++ 5.61
1022 H Missouri St 17-24 -7 0 --- -7.01
1101 A We Kentucky 16-35 -19 -15 0.00
1108 H Kennesaw St 21-24 -3 -4 0.58
1115 A Tennessee 9-42 -33 -24 0.00
1122 A UTEP 34-31 3 -2 ++ 5.02
1129 H Middle Tenn 24-31 -7 4 --- -10.90
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1022 H Missouri St 17-24 -7 0 --- -7.01 1129 H Middle Tenn 24-31 -7 4 --- -10.90 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 906 H Tulsa 21-14 7 3 ++ 4.27 1014 A Liberty 27-30 -3 -9 ++ 5.61 1122 A UTEP 34-31 3 -2 ++ 5.02 1002 H SHouston St 37-10 27 12 + 2.44 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Tulsa ( 4- 8, 67.6) 21-14 -32.29 18.93 -5.26 1.16 31.70
3 A La Tech ( 8- 5, 75.6) 14-49 -24.27 26.95 5.26 1.16 -11.02
3 A New Mexico ( 9- 4, 77.5) 20-38 -22.39 28.83 5.26 1.16 -9.93
3 H SHouston St ( 2-10, 58.8) 37-10 -41.12 10.10 -5.26 1.16 11.23
3 A Liberty ( 4- 8, 68.4) 27-30 -31.47 19.75 5.26 1.16 -15.19
3 H Missouri St ( 7- 6, 70.3) 17-24 -29.57 21.65 -5.26 1.16 -20.18
3 A We Kentucky ( 9- 4, 75.2) 16-35 -24.75 26.47 5.26 1.16 -11.29
3 H Kennesaw St (10- 4, 73.9) 21-24 -25.97 25.25 -5.26 1.16 -18.10
3 A Tennessee ( 8- 5, 83.7) 9-42 -16.22 35.00 5.26 1.16 -6.35
3 A UTEP ( 2-10, 61.8) 34-31 -38.06 13.16 5.26 1.16 42.70
3 H Middle Tenn ( 3- 9, 66.4) 24-31 -33.45 17.77 -5.26 1.16 -22.44
------
-28.87
|
winning pts = 85.6271 losing points = -114.4979
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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